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Tropical Storm Nicholas: Track, forecast and flooding for Texas and Louisiana – The Washington Post

The path of Nicholas will also be a key source of remaining uncertainty in its forecast, since it’s moving parallel to the coastline. If the center jogs westward, landfall could come sooner and strengthening could cease, while a track to the east would favor a slightly stronger system coming ashore farther north, possibly as a hurricane. Right now, high-resolution computer models are simulating a landfall overnight Monday night around Matagorda Bay, followed by a path almost directly toward Houston.

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